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Current Win Probability
Lillestrøm SK 54.6%
Draw 24.6%
Fredrikstad 20.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
24.2%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.3%
25.9%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lillestrøm SK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Lillestrøm SK - Fredrikstad Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Lillestrøm will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Dahlberg P. (G) 3. Ottesen S. 4. Garnas E. B. 47. Kristiansen S. 11. Elkaer F. 29. Ibrahimaj Y. 17. Kitolano E. (C) 16. Melland H. 26. Paintsil Y. 20. Felix Va 8. Gulbrandsen F.
77. Borsheim M. (G) 38. Amundsen I. 4. Holme F. 28. Owusu S. 16. Eid D. 6. Leach S. 14. Nilsson M. 13. Sorlokk S. (C) 7. Faraas B. 23. Skogvold H. 9. Laghzaoui S.
Substitutes
25. Akanji S. 22. Bassi D. 5. Foss S. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 15. Nordh G. 10. Olsen T. 2. Ranger L. 6. Woxen H.
18. Fiabema B. 12. Fredriksen U. 19. Ghebreyohannes F. 21. Jezierski J. 10. Nunez J. 1. Ovretveit O. (G) 24. Owusu L. 5. Rafn S. 29. Wesseh G.
Coaches
Odegaard H.
Rojkjaer C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Owusu S. ⚽, Sorlokk S. (A),
17', Elkaer F. 🟨,
18', 0 - 2, Nilsson M. (Penalty Awarded),
37', 1 - 2, Gulbrandsen F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Elkaer F. ↓, Bassi D. ↑,
54', Faraas B. 🟨,
59', Leach S. ↓, Jezierski J. ↑,
59', Laghzaoui S. ↓, Wesseh G. ↑,
59', Eid D. ↓, Ghebreyohannes F. ↑,
64', Gulbrandsen F. ↓, Olsen T. ↑,
65', 1 - 3, Faraas B. ⚽, Skogvold H. (A),
67', Owusu S. ↓, Rafn S. ↑,
72', Kitolano E. ↓, Woxen H. ↑,
79', 1 - 4, Faraas B. ⚽,
83', Amundsen I. ↓, Fredriksen U. ↑,
86', Woxen H. 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 2.
In recent matches, Lillestrøm has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fredrikstad is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Lillestrøm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Lillestrøm is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Lillestrøm: Jebara C.
(Injury)
Nyheim G.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Fredrikstad: Kvile S.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Lillestrøm: Gabrielsen R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Okpaleke K.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Lillestrøm won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
Norway
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Dahlberg P. (G) 
Ottesen S. 
Elkaer F. 
Ibrahimaj Y. 
Felix Va 
Owusu S. 
Akanji S. 
Jezierski J. 
Wesseh G. 
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