Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 26

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	Lillestrøm 2		Rosenborg II

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.83	4.35
	1.5	4.97	4.57
	1.5	5	4.2
	1.45	4.8	4.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.82)	4.9 ↑ (4.5)	4.53 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm 2
61.3%

Draw
18.6%

Rosenborg II
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

20.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

21%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lillestrøm 2's performance.

Rosenborg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosenborg II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lillestrøm 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg II than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosenborg II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lillestrøm 2 - Rosenborg II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Sandrod E. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Waehler M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Neto L. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 8).

Lillestrøm 2 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rosenborg II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rosenborg II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lillestrøm 2 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
19.10.24	Strømsgodset 2 - Lillestrøm 2	3:1 ✺
13.10.24	Mosjøen - Lillestrøm 2	3:2 ✺
05.10.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Trygg Lade	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Tiller - Lillestrøm 2	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Nardo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTTL
- Rosenborg BK II
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
20.10.24	Rosenborg II - Stabæk 2	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Rana - Rosenborg II	1:0 ✺
30.09.24	Rosenborg II - Surnadal IL	3:1 ✺
23.09.24	Verdal - Rosenborg II	0:0 ✺
16.09.24	Rosenborg II - Melhus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
21.04.24	Rosenborg II - Lillestrøm 2	5:3

Lillestrøm 2 - Rosenborg II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide