Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 24

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	Lillestrøm 2		Trygg Lade

	1	X	2
	7.25	6	1.24
	7.21	5.93	1.24
	8.05	6.2	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.5 ↑ (3.03)	6.04 ↑ (4.08)	1.24 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm 2
12%

Draw
14.9%

Trygg Lade
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

22.1%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

22.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lillestrøm 2's form might have worsened.

Trygg Lade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trygg Lade's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lillestrøm 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trygg Lade than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trygg Lade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lillestrøm 2 - Trygg Lade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Skaro H. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Neto L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Trygg Lade will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
28.09.24	Tiller - Lillestrøm 2	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Nardo	1:4 ✺
15.09.24	Surnadal IL - Lillestrøm 2	3:4 ✺
08.09.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Orkla FK	2:0 ✺
03.09.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Stabæk 2	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWWL
- SK Trygg Lade
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
28.09.24	Trygg Lade - Verdal	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Rana - Trygg Lade	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Trygg Lade - Byåsen	4:0 ✺
09.09.24	Melhus - Trygg Lade	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Rosenborg II - Trygg Lade	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
22.06.24	Trygg Lade - Lillestrøm 2	5:0

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