Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 18

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo Cruzeiro (Ponte de Lima)


	Limianos		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.98	3.35
	2.17	2.84	3.41
	2.18	2.97	3.37	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.3
	2.16	2.88	3.44
	2.16	2.83	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.92)	2.87 ↓ (3.33)	3.38 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limianos
41.8%

Draw
31.5%

Vilaverdense
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

26.5%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limianos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Limianos's form might have worsened.

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limianos than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Limianos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Limianos - Vilaverdense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 3 - 1, ⚽,
86', 🟥,
90+7', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Limianos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Limianos could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Limianos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Limianos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AD Limianos	4	2	2	0	8:5	3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Limianos - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 47.11%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Limianos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.02.26	Camacha - Limianos	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Limianos - Machico	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Brito - Limianos	4:0 ✺
10.01.26	Limianos - São Martinho	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Limianos - Vianense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLW
- Vilaverdense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.02.26	Vilaverdense - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Camacha - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Mirandela - Vilaverdense	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Vilaverdense - Ribeira Brava	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Celoricense - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.02.22	Vilaverdense - Limianos	1:0
28.11.21	Limianos - Vilaverdense	1:2
28.04.19	Vilaverdense - Limianos	0:1
16.12.18	Limianos - Vilaverdense	2:0

Limianos - Vilaverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide