Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 12

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Complexo Desportivo da Camacha (Camacha)


	Camacha		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.82	3.7
	2.06	2.85	3.73
	2.06	2.92	3.79	Watch
	2.05	2.75	3.6
	2.05	2.88	3.77
	2.08	2.8	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.82)	2.84 ↓ (3.2)	3.71 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camacha
43.8%

Draw
31.8%

Vilaverdense
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28.3%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

27.5%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camacha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camacha's form might have worsened.

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camacha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Camacha - Vilaverdense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Camacha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Camacha is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Camacha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Camacha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Vilaverdense - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 22.06%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
25.01.26	Desportivo Monção - Camacha	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Camacha - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ribeira Brava - Camacha	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Celoricense - Camacha	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Bragança - Camacha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTLL
- Vilaverdense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
25.01.26	Mirandela - Vilaverdense	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Vilaverdense - Ribeira Brava	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Celoricense - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vilaverdense - Bragança	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Vilaverdense - Machico	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.01.22	Camacha - Vilaverdense	1:2
24.10.21	Vilaverdense - Camacha	3:0
Taça de Portugal
20.10.13	Camacha - Vilaverdense	2:1 ET

Camacha - Vilaverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide