Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 17

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cruz do Reguengo (Vila Verde)


	Vilaverdense		Desportivo Monção

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	5.15
	1.49	3.71	5.96
	1.55	3.58	5.93	Watch
	1.53	3.81	6.17
	1.48	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.54)	3.65 ↑ (3.2)	5.84 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
59.4%

Draw
25%

Desportivo Monção
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.4%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

22.1%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Desportivo Monção has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilaverdense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Monção than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Desportivo Monção could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vilaverdense - Desportivo Monção Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Vilaverdense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Desportivo Monção is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vilaverdense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vilaverdense is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
31.01.26	Camacha - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Mirandela - Vilaverdense	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Vilaverdense - Ribeira Brava	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Celoricense - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vilaverdense - Bragança	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTTL
- Desportivo Monção
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
25.01.26	Desportivo Monção - Camacha	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Machico - Desportivo Monção	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Desportivo Monção - Brito	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Desportivo Monção - São Martinho	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Vianense - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.09.25	Desportivo Monção - Vilaverdense	0:0
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Vilaverdense - Desportivo Monção	0:1

Vilaverdense - Desportivo Monção: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide