Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Linares Deportivo		Intercity

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.63
	2.55	3	2.5
	2.7	3	2.7	Watch
	2.67	2.95	2.88
	2.68	2.9	2.88
	2.58	3.06	2.72
	2.55	3.05	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.96)	3.01 ↑ (2.99)	2.7 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
35.3%

Draw
30.6%

Intercity
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

30.1%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

30%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Intercity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Intercity might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Intercity could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Linares Deportivo - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juskevicius E. (G) 18. Perejon D. 2. Bonnin T. 4. Molina M. 3. Varela F. 15. Duarte J. 8. Rodri (C) 21. Llorente R. 7. Diaz H. 27. Oyon A. 14. Corral S.	1. Herrera M. (C) 2. Jaime G. 14. Murria V. 15. Perez A. 3. Romero C. 4. Undabarrena E. 6. Ceberio J. 23. Pinan A. 10. Fernandez X. 7. Soldevila O. 9. Etxaniz J.
Substitutes
11. Berlanga M. 30. Carrillo M. 13. Casado S. (G) 9. Mena P. 6. Moreno A. 19. Ortuno F. 10. Sanchez M. 28. Suarez L. 20. Sutherland T. 29. Zaki	5. Bellotti M. 21. Burlamaqui A. 22. Camara D. 13. Campos G. (G) 16. Galvez R. 20. Mendibe M. 8. Nsue E. 11. Roige Rodriguez P. 19. Traore M.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Linares is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Intercity is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Intercity could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Linares have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.11.23	Antequera - Linares Deportivo	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Linares Deportivo	3:2 ✺
04.11.23	Linares Deportivo - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	UCAM Murcia - Linares Deportivo	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.10.23	Real Murcia - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTWL
- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.11.23	Intercity - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
11.11.23	Algeciras - Intercity	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Intercity - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Ibiza - Intercity	1:3 ✺
22.10.23	Intercity - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 TWWWT

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