Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Linarejos (Linares)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Linares Deportivo		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.98	3.3
	2.44	3.13	2.92
	2.2	3.1	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.91)	3.07 ↓ (3.22)	3.17 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
40.9%

Draw
30%

Lorca Deportiva
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

28.4%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Linares Deportivo's form might have worsened.

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorca Deportiva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Linares Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Linares Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Lorca Deportiva (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorca Deportiva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Lara F. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 0 - 2, Naranjo J. ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, Diaz H. ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, Naranjo J. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Linares has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lorca Deportiva is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Linares is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Linares won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Including home match between the teams, Linares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.10.25	La Unión - Linares Deportivo	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Linares Deportivo - Minera	3:2 ✺
27.09.25	Recreativo Huelva - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Almeria B - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Linares Deportivo - Águilas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWTWT
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.10.25	Lorca Deportiva - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Recreativo Huelva - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Lorca Deportiva - La Unión	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.03.21	Linares Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva	1:0
10.01.21	Lorca Deportiva - Linares Deportivo	0:3

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