Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Linarejos (Linares) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	Footballclub


	Linares Deportivo		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.88	2.45
	3.02	2.81	2.63
	2.94	2.8	2.49
	3	2.62	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.59)	2.78 ↓ (2.99)	2.56 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
31.1%

Draw
33%

UCAM Murcia
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.1%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29.8%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Linares Deportivo - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Talaveron D. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Diaz H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Jaiteh O. ⚽,
63', Caramelo A. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linares won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Linares may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, UCAM Murcia has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Linares won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Linares won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.11.25	Antoniano - Linares Deportivo	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Linares Deportivo - Atlético Malagueño	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Real Jaén - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Linares Deportivo - Xerez CD	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTWTL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Minera	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Atlético Malagueño - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Cádiz	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.03.25	UCAM Murcia - Linares Deportivo	2:0
27.10.24	Linares Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	UCAM Murcia - Linares Deportivo	0:1 penalties
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.05.22	UCAM Murcia - Linares Deportivo	1:2
18.09.21	Linares Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.01.21	Linares Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:0
25.10.20	UCAM Murcia - Linares Deportivo	1:0

Linares Deportivo - UCAM Murcia