Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Chapín (Jerez)


	Xerez CD		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.95	4.1
	1.89	3	4.2
	1.86	2.95	5.09
	1.99	3.01	3.93	Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.88
	1.89	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.55)	3 (3)	4.23 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez CD
48%

Draw
30.4%

Orihuela
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.5%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xerez CD's performance.

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orihuela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xerez CD that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orihuela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Xerez CD - Orihuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Isnaldo E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 2, Miranda G. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Xerez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Orihuela is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Xerez is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.10.24	Almeria B - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Xerez CD - Cadiz CF B	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Antoniano - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Xerez CD - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	La Unión - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTLWW
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.10.24	Cadiz CF B - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Orihuela - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Estepona - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Orihuela - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Xerez Deportivo - Orihuela	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLT

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