Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Linarejos (Linares)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Linares Deportivo		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.5
	2	3.15	3.55
	2.02	3.46	3.46
	1.98	3.37	3.5
	1.89	3.3	3.99
	2	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.8)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	3.59 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
46.2%

Draw
28.3%

Villanovense
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

28.9%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

29.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Linares Deportivo's form might have worsened.

Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villanovense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Linares Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villanovense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Linares Deportivo - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Abreu ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, Talaveron D. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Linares is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villanovense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villanovense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Linares will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Linares won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Linares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.04.25	Linense - Linares Deportivo	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Linares Deportivo - Águilas	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Orihuela - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Linares Deportivo - Cadiz CF B	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Linares Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWTL
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.04.25	Villanovense - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Villanovense - Linense	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Águilas - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Villanovense - Orihuela	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Cadiz CF B - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.12.24	Villanovense - Linares Deportivo	2:0
12.02.17	Villanovense - Linares Deportivo	0:0
25.09.16	Linares Deportivo - Villanovense	2:1
07.02.16	Linares Deportivo - Villanovense	1:2
20.09.15	Villanovense - Linares Deportivo	1:0

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