Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 32

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Villanovense		Xerez CD

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.87	2.1
	3.25	2.85	2.26
	3.38	2.88	2.33
	3.36	2.87	2.27	Watch
	3.4	2.86	2.28
	3.25	2.85	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.03)	2.86 ↓ (3.08)	2.25 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
27.4%

Draw
32%

Xerez CD
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

29.7%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

29%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Villanovense - Xerez CD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Chalbaud Alba S. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
85', Robles I. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Villanovense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Xerez is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Xerez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Xerez will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villanovense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.04.25	Villanovense - Linense	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Águilas - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Villanovense - Orihuela	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Cadiz CF B - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Villanovense - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWLWL
- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.04.25	Xerez CD - Don Benito	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Linense - Xerez CD	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Xerez CD - Minera	3:2 ✺
22.03.25	Águilas - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Xerez CD - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.12.24	Xerez CD - Villanovense	1:0

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