Match Info

Date: 26 August 2021, Thursday


	Lincoln Red Imps		Riga

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.08
	3.2	3	2.19
	3.19	3.12	2.25
	2.88	3	2.25
	3.34	3.04	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.89)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.18 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln Red Imps
28.9%

Draw
29%

Riga
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

28.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

21%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln Red Imps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln Red Imps than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln Red Imps that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Riga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	18.7%	68.7%

Lincoln Red Imps - Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Lincoln Red Imps will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Riga will win (votes: 22 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 52.7% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Lincoln Red Imps is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Riga is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Riga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Riga will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lincoln Red Imps won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.08.21	Riga - Lincoln Red Imps	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.08.21	Slovan Bratislava - Lincoln Red Imps	1:1 ✺
05.08.21	Lincoln Red Imps - Slovan Bratislava	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.21	CFR Cluj - Lincoln Red Imps	2:0 ✺
20.07.21	Lincoln Red Imps - CFR Cluj	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TTLLL
- Riga FC
Latvian Cup
22.08.21	Riga - Albatroz SC-FS Jelgava	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.08.21	Riga - Lincoln Red Imps	1:1 ✺
12.08.21	Paola Hibernians - Riga	1:4 ET ✺
Latvian Cup
08.08.21	Tukums 2000 - Riga	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	Riga - Paola Hibernians	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
19.08.21	Riga - Lincoln Red Imps	1:1

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