Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 7

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Linense		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.05
	3.6	2.95	2.06
	3.77	2.91	2.1
	3.76	2.92	2.08	Watch
	3.68	2.93	2.13
	3.6	2.95	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.42)	2.93 ↑ (2.7)	2.08 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linense
25.1%

Draw
31.1%

UCAM Murcia
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

34%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

35.3%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Linense's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linense than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Linense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Linense - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Ramis Luque A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 2, Segura J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Linense won 1.

Linense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

UCAM Murcia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UCAM Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

UCAM Murcia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Linense won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:16 (average 0.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Linense won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 0.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Balompedica Linense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.10.24	Xerez Deportivo - Linense	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Linense - Don Benito	2:3 ✺
22.09.24	Minera - Linense	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Linense - San Fernando	0:2 ✺
08.09.24	Almeria B - Linense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTLL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.10.24	UCAM Murcia - Águilas	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
02.10.24	CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
29.09.24	Orihuela - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	UCAM Murcia - Pozoblanco	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.09.24	UCAM Murcia - Cadiz CF B	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.04.24	UCAM Murcia - Linense	1:1
26.11.23	Linense - UCAM Murcia	0:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.01.22	UCAM Murcia - Linense	1:0
02.10.21	Linense - UCAM Murcia	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.01.20	UCAM Murcia - Linense	4:3
01.09.19	Linense - UCAM Murcia	1:0
13.01.19	Linense - UCAM Murcia	0:2

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