Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 3

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast)

Referee: Morrison C. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Linfield		Cliftonville

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.75	4.00
	1.79	3.35	3.80
	1.82	4.07	4.05
	1.86	3.82	3.48	Watch
	1.69	4.05	4.30
	1.72	3.95	4.27
	1.77	3.65	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.67)	3.81 ↓ (3.95)	3.96 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linfield
52.3%

Draw
24.3%

Cliftonville
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

23.2%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

24.2%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Cliftonville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Linfield - Cliftonville Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Linfield will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johns Ch. (G) 29. Fitzpatrick M. 10. Frizzell A. 15. Hall B. 33. Leahy D. 8. McClean K. 34. McCullough D. 27. McGee E. 7. Millar K. 9. Offord K. 5. Shields C. (C)	31. Morrison P. (G) 25. Bannon A. 8. Hale R. 10. Healy B. 15. McClelland K. 16. McMaster D. 27. McStravick L. 20. Quinn B. 3. Samuels O. 2. Wightman A. 6. Wilson H.
Substitutes
36. Annett R. 26. Baird I. 24. Brown S. 66. Chapman C. 18. Glavin A. (G) 30. Moore K. 16. Wells D.	35. Belshaw M. (G) 14. Conlan L. 19. Gormley J. 36. Hawthorne K. 4. O’Connor D. 41. Sheridan J. 17. Thompson J.
Coaches
Healy D.	Magilton J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, McGee E. ⚽,
56', Wilson H. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
56', Samuels O. ↓, Conlan L. ↑,
64', Offord K. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
68', Quinn B. ↓, Sheridan J. ↑,
77', Millar K. ↓, Wells D. ↑,
80', McStravick L. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 2.

Linfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cliftonville is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Cliftonville has had a series of home games.

In this match, Linfield is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Linfield won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Linfield: 25.98% Cliftonville: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Linfield	9	7	1	1	12:6	6	22
9	Cliftonville	10	4	0	6	12:12	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Linfield - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.89%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linfield FC
Northern Irish Premiership
15.08.26	Linfield - Glentoran	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Linfield - Ballymena United	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Dollingstown - Linfield	1:7 ✺
24.07.26	Limavady United - Linfield	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Linfield - Doncaster Rovers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL
- Cliftonville FC
Northern Irish Premiership
15.08.26	Bangor - Cliftonville	0:3 ✺
07.08.26	Cliftonville - Crusaders	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Cliftonville - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	Cliftonville - Warrenpoint Town	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Cliftonville - Moyola Park	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
25.04.26	Linfield - Cliftonville	1:2
01.03.26	Cliftonville - Linfield	2:0
02.11.25	Cliftonville - Linfield	0:0
24.08.25	Linfield - Cliftonville	1:0
25.01.25	Linfield - Cliftonville	2:1
26.10.24	Linfield - Cliftonville	1:2
17.09.24	Cliftonville - Linfield	0:0

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