Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast)

Referee: Andrews S. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV


	Linfield		Glentoran

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.30	2.70
	2.28	3.2	2.85
	2.3	3.65	2.99
	2.62	3.32	2.47	Watch
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.28	3.37	3
	2.27	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.9)	3.36 ↑ (3.26)	2.84 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linfield
39.6%

Draw
27.7%

Glentoran
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

28.1%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

26.7%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Linfield's performance.

Glentoran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Glentoran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Linfield that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Glentoran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Linfield - Glentoran Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Glentoran (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johns Ch. (G) 29. Fitzpatrick M. 10. Frizzell A. 15. Hall B. 33. Leahy D. 8. McClean K. 34. McCullough D. 27. McGee E. 7. Millar K. 9. Offord K. 5. Shields C. (C)	31. Francis Crellin W. (G) 7. Clarke R. 2. Cooney R. 24. Ibsen Rossi Z. 30. Jenkins J. 3. Kane M. (C) 29. Malone J. 8. McEneff A. 27. Singleton J. 10. Stewart J. 6. Thomson J.
Substitutes
36. Annett R. 26. Baird I. 24. Brown S. 66. Chapman C. 18. Glavin A. (G) 30. Moore K. 16. Wells D.	44. Douglas J. 38. Faloona J. 19. Gallagher B. 5. Kelly J. 20. Larmour D. 40. Morris E. 35. Weatherup C.
Coaches
Healy D.	Devine D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Leahy D. ⚽,
23', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', Thomson J. ↓, Gallagher B. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Millar K. ⚽,
85', Clarke R. 🟨,
88', Malone J. 🟨,
88', McGee E. 🟨,
88', Kane M. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Stewart J. ⚽,
90+2', Stewart J. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 2.

In recent matches, Linfield has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Glentoran is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Linfield won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Linfield: 25.98% Glentoran: 2.48%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Linfield	9	7	1	1	12:6	6	22
4	Glentoran	10	5	1	4	15:10	5	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linfield FC
Northern Irish Premiership
08.08.26	Linfield - Ballymena United	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Dollingstown - Linfield	1:7 ✺
24.07.26	Limavady United - Linfield	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Linfield - Doncaster Rovers	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Linfield - Nõmme Kalju	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLT
- Glentoran
Northern Irish Premiership
08.08.26	Glentoran - Limavady United	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	RFS - Glentoran	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Glentoran - RFS	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Dundela - Glentoran	3:3 ✺
01.07.26	Glentoran - Kilmarnock	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
28.03.26	Glentoran - Linfield	1:1
Northern Irish League Cup
15.03.26	Glentoran - Linfield	0:1 ET
Northern Irish Premiership
21.02.26	Linfield - Glentoran	1:0
26.12.25	Linfield - Glentoran	0:1
12.09.25	Glentoran - Linfield	1:1
05.04.25	Linfield - Glentoran	2:1
Northern Irish Cup
31.01.25	Glentoran - Linfield	2:1 ET

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