Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Espirito Santo - Second stage - Round 2

Date: 10 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Engenheiro Alencar Araripe (Cariacica)


	Desportiva Ferroviaria		Noroeste

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.85
	2.04	3.34	2.74
	2.16	3.36	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.83)	3.37 ↓ (3.45)	2.85 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportiva Ferroviaria
42.4%

Draw
26.4%

Noroeste
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportiva Ferroviaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Desportiva Ferroviaria's form might have worsened.

Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Noroeste's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportiva Ferroviaria than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desportiva Ferroviaria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Noroeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Desportiva Ferroviaria - Noroeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Ramos Souza L. F. ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, Thoni ⚽,
86', Rafael Gelatti 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportiva Ferroviaria
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
30.06.24	Vilavelhense - Desportiva Ferroviaria	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Porto Vitória - Desportiva Ferroviaria	1:0 ✺
19.06.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Noroeste	3:1 ✺
09.06.24	Vilavelhense - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:3 ✺
05.06.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Linhares	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWWW
- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Serie D
06.07.24	Serra - Noroeste	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
03.07.24	Noroeste - Vitória ES	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
29.06.24	Noroeste - Ipatinga	2:0 ✺
25.06.24	Noroeste - Democrata SL	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
22.06.24	Noroeste - Vilavelhense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
19.06.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Noroeste	3:1
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
25.02.24	Noroeste - Desportiva Ferroviaria	2:2
01.02.23	Noroeste - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:1
29.01.22	Noroeste - Desportiva Ferroviaria	3:0
02.02.20	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Noroeste	0:2
27.02.19	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Noroeste	0:2

Desportiva Ferroviaria - Noroeste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide