The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Laferrere 42.9%
Draw 30.8%
Liniers 26.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
31.8%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
33.1%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Laferrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Deportivo Laferrere - Liniers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Libares T. (G) 10. Benitez A. 2. Cavoret I. 11. Digion R. 3. Manzi N. 6. Nebot L. 4. Portillo B. 9. Rodriguez E. 7. Romero F. 5. Trejo E. (C) 8. Vivas N.
1. De Feliche C. (G) 4. Di Motta R. 10. Fernandez G. 2. Formichelli S. 11. Gridel M. 9. Linas M. 6. Lugarzo L. 8. Palacio S. 3. Pereyra E. 7. Rodriguez C. 5. Roth J.
Substitutes
17. Atardo G. 12. Barraza L. (G) 14. Cantero M. 13. Digangi M. 20. Gomez N. 15. Mamani L. 18. Ortiz A. 16. Salvadores J. 19. Vega D.
18. Auzqui D. 16. Camejo J. 13. Canosa J. 20. Coria T. 14. Gallegos E. 15. Penoni A. 12. Rotundo M. (G) 19. Sallaberry I. 17. Venetucci V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Palacio S. 🟨,
35', Di Motta R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Gridel M. 🟨,
59', Gridel M. ↓, Venetucci V. ↑,
64', Rodriguez E. ↓, Gomez N. ↑,
64', Benitez A. ↓, Atardo G. ↑,
68', Palacio S. ↓, Gallegos E. ↑,
68', Linas M. ↓, Sallaberry I. ↑,
70', Formichelli S. 🟨,
77', Fernandez G. ↓, Auzqui D. ↑,
77', Rodriguez C. ↓, Coria T. ↑,
80', Digion R. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
90', Vivas N. ↓, Salvadores J. ↑,
90+3', Portillo B. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Deportivo Laferrere may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Deportivo Laferrere will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Laferrere won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Laferrere
38
13
12
13
46:50
-4
51
17
Liniers
38
10
13
15
31:39
-8
43
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Laferrere - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.77%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Liniers - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 28.44%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.