Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Lipno Stęszew		Tłuchowia Tłuchowo

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.35	3.75
	2.02	4.13	2.7
	2.03	4.03	2.88	Watch
	1.8	4.32	3.4	Watch
	1.49	4.4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.6)	4.25 ↑ (4.2)	3.53 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lipno Stęszew
51.8%

Draw
21.9%

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

21.5%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

20.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lipno Stęszew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lipno Stęszew - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Szczutowski A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 🟥,
90+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Lipno Stęszew has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tłuchowia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tłuchowia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lipno Stęszew is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
30.08.25	Flota Świnoujście - Lipno Stęszew	4:0 ✺
27.08.25	Lipno Stęszew - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lipno Stęszew	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Lipno Stęszew - Wda Świecie	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Lipno Stęszew	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWLTW
- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
30.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Unia Swarzędz	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Noteć Czarnków	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Flota Świnoujście	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTTLL

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