Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Lipno Stęszew		Elana Toruń

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.9	1.68
	4.43	3.99	1.58
	2.47	3.70	2.43	Watch
	4.32	3.85	1.7	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.52)	3.79 ↑ (3.27)	1.91 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lipno Stęszew
26.1%

Draw
24.7%

Elana Toruń
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

25.7%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

24.3%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lipno Stęszew's form might have worsened.

Elana Toruń has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elana Toruń's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lipno Stęszew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elana Toruń than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elana Toruń, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lipno Stęszew - Elana Toruń Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lipno Stęszew (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Sobkowiak S. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Taira Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 2 - 1, Roznowski M. ⚽,
54', 2 - 2, Zbun O. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).

Lipno Stęszew is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Elana Toruń is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lipno Stęszew may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Elana Toruń has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lipno Stęszew	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Lipno Stęszew - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Flota Świnoujście - Lipno Stęszew	4:0 ✺
27.08.25	Lipno Stęszew - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lipno Stęszew	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- Elana Toruń
Polish Division 3 - Group II
14.09.25	Wda Świecie - Elana Toruń	2:5 ✺
06.09.25	Elana Toruń - Flota Świnoujście	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Elana Toruń	0:3 ✺
27.08.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Elana Toruń	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Elana Toruń	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWTL

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