Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 16

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Lipno Stęszew		Września

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.35	2.78
	2.2	3.59	2.75
	1.91	3.60	3.44	Watch
	2.26	3.5	2.83	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.9)	3.51 ↓ (3.53)	3.04 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lipno Stęszew
43.8%

Draw
26.1%

Września
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

25.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Września has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lipno Stęszew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Września than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Lipno Stęszew - Września Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Rasiak J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lipno Stęszew is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.25	Luzino - Lipno Stęszew	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Lipno Stęszew - Kluczevia Stargard	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Lipno Stęszew - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Noteć Czarnków - Lipno Stęszew	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Lipno Stęszew - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWLLW
- FC Września
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Września	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Września - Unia Swarzędz	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Elana Toruń - Września	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Września - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Września	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLLL

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