Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Lipno Stęszew		Cartusia Kartuzy

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.75	1.85
	3.3	3.75	1.85
	3.8	3.81	1.72
	1.13	5.95	15.00	Watch
	3.42	3.74	1.86	Watch
	3.35	3.85	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.45)	4.14 ↑ (3.9)	4.03 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lipno Stęszew
40.2%

Draw
29.5%

Cartusia Kartuzy
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

23.3%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

22.6%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipno Stęszew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lipno Stęszew's performance.

Cartusia Kartuzy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cartusia Kartuzy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lipno Stęszew that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartusia Kartuzy than the current prediction. (+21.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartusia Kartuzy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lipno Stęszew - Cartusia Kartuzy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Sobkowiak S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Lipno Stęszew has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cartusia Kartuzy is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cartusia Kartuzy will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lipno Stęszew	3:4 ✺
20.09.25	Lipno Stęszew - Elana Toruń	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lipno Stęszew	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Lipno Stęszew - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Flota Świnoujście - Lipno Stęszew	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLLL
- Cartusia Kartuzy
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Unia Swarzędz	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Noteć Czarnków	3:2 ✺
17.09.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:4 ✺
06.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWT

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