Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Września		Polonia Środa Wielkopolska

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.7	1.78
	3.5	3.7	1.8
	3.7	3.72	1.79	Watch
	3.6	3.8	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.55)	3.73 ↑ (3.73)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Września
25.4%

Draw
24.3%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

24.4%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

24%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Września has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Września than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Września - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Recent form of Września has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Środa Wielkopolska is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Środa Wielkopolska will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Września won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Września
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.09.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Września	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Września - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:3 ✺
12.09.25	Noteć Czarnków - Września	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Września - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Września - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLL
- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.25	Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lipno Stęszew	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.07.20	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Września	1:2

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