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Lithuania - Azerbaijan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • UEFA Nations League - League D - Round 2
  • Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday
  • Location: S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas (Kaunas)
  • Referee: Menelaos A. (Cyp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • AfricaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    ArgentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
    ArmeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    AsiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
    AustraliaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    AustriaAustriaDAZN
    AzerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
    BoliviaBoliviaESPN 3
    Bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    BrazilBrazilDisney+, Globoplay, SporTV 2
    BulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    CanadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
    ChileChileESPN 3
    ColombiaColombiaESPN 3
    CroatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
    CyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    Czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
    DenmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    EcuadorEcuadorESPN 3
    EstoniaEstoniaGo3 Extra Sports
    EuropeEuropeUEFA TV
    FinlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
    FranceFranceNew World TV
    GermanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
    GreeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
    IcelandIcelandViaplay
    IndiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
    IndonesiaIndonesiaGTV, K-Vision
    IsraelIsraelSport 1
    ItalyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
    JapanJapanDAZN Japan
    KenyaKenyaGotv
    KosovoKosovoArena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
    LithuaniaLithuaniaGo3 Extra Sports, LRT Plius
    MaldivesMaldivesMedianet
    MexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
    NetherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport
    New-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    NigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    North-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1
    NorwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
    PakistanPakistanTapmad
    ParaguayParaguayESPN 3
    PeruPeruDisney+, ESPN 3
    RomaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
    RussiaRussiaOkko Prime, Okko Sport
    SerbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    SloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
    South-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
    South-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    South-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
    SpainSpainDAZN Espana
    SwedenSwedenViaplay
    SwitzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    TurkeyTurkeyExxen
    UkraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
    UruguayUruguayDisney+
    UsaUsaFox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
    VenezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 3, Inter
    Lithuania Azerbaijan
    Lithuania Azerbaijan
    1 X 2
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    betsson 2.65 2.92 2.65
    Bet_in_Asia 2.35 3.05 3.55
    GGBet 2.31 3.05 3.42
    Williamhill 2.25 2.9 3.4
    BetNow 2.38 3.05 3.54 Watch and Bet Watch
    Bovada 2.34 2.95 3.3
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.34 ↓
    (2.47)    		 2.98
    (2.98)    		 3.32 ↑
    (2.94)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

    • The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Lithuania
    40.1%    		Draw
    31.6%    		Azerbaijan
    28.3%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    37.5% 31% 31.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Azerbaijan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    47.1% 41.2% 11.8%

    Lithuania - Azerbaijan Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Lithuania will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Azerbaijan will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lithuania: 25.5% – 74.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lithuania (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Azerbaijan (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lithuania (votes: 2 - 50%). Azerbaijan (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    23. LithuaniaBartkus D. (G) Al Riffa
    18. LithuaniaArmalas V. MTK Budapest
      3. LithuaniaUtkus E. Al Kholood
      2. LithuaniaTutyskinas A. Celje
    21. LithuaniaLickunas A. Cremonese
    16. LithuaniaMichelbrink L. Energie Cottbus
    15. LithuaniaGineitis G. Torino
    13. LithuaniaLasickas J. (C) Rijeka
    14. LithuaniaSlivka V. FK Kauno Zalgiris
    10. LithuaniaKucys A. Celje
      7. LithuaniaDolznikov A. Slovacko
    		  1. AzerbaijanBalayev E. (G) Neftci Baku
    19. AzerbaijanMutallimov T. Sabah Baku
      4. AzerbaijanMammadov R. Turan
    15. AzerbaijanHuseynov B. (C) Qarabag Agdam
      2. AzerbaijanDashdamirov R. Sabah Baku
      3. AzerbaijanAbbasov R. Neftci Baku
    10. AzerbaijanEmreli M. Rakow Czestochowa
      6. AzerbaijanKhaybulaev A. Sabah Baku
    13. AzerbaijanSafarov E. Neftci Baku
    20. AzerbaijanIsayev A. Sabah Baku
      9. AzerbaijanDadashov R. Bukovyna
    Substitutes
      4. LithuaniaBaltrunas Z. Suduva
    22. LithuaniaBurba M. FK Kauno Zalgiris
      1. LithuaniaGertmonas E. (G) Servette
    11. LithuaniaJankauskas E. H. Ironi Rishon
      5. LithuaniaKazukolovas K. FC Astana
    20. LithuaniaLekiatas R. FK Kauno Zalgiris
      9. LithuaniaRuzgis M. Besa Kavaje
      8. LithuaniaSluta D. Transinvest
    17. LithuaniaSteponavicius F. Suduva
    12. LithuaniaSvedkauskas T. (G) FK Kauno Zalgiris
    19. LithuaniaVenckus I. Banga
      6. LithuaniaVorobjovas M. Sakhnin
    		21. AzerbaijanAbdullazada R. Shmona
    14. AzerbaijanBadalov E. Neftci Baku
    12. AzerbaijanBayramov A. (G) Zira FK
      7. AzerbaijanBayramov T. Bursaspor
    11. AzerbaijanGuseynov A. Zira FK
    18. AzerbaijanHuseynov C. Petrolul
    17. AzerbaijanIsgandarli V. Malisheva
      5. AzerbaijanKrivotsyuk A. Daejeon
      8. AzerbaijanMahmudov E. Neftci Baku
    16. AzerbaijanMammadov O. Shamakhi
    23. AzerbaijanMirzammadov R. (G) Sabah Baku
    22. AzerbaijanQurbanly M. Qarabag Agdam
    Coaches
         LithuaniaJankauskas E.
    		     AzerbaijanAbbasov A.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 1)
    • 9', 1 - 0, Kucys A. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 14', 1 - 1, Emreli M. ⚽, Mutallimov T. (A),
    • 27', Mammadov R. 🟨,
    • 39', Mutallimov T. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 46', Safarov E. ↓, Abdullazada R. ↑,
    • 52', Gineitis G. 🟨,
    • 56', Isayev A. 🟨,
    • 57', Slivka V. ↓, Sluta D. ↑,
    • 60', Dadashov R. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
    • 60', Abbasov R. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
    • 66', Michelbrink L. ↓, Vorobjovas M. ↑,
    • 66', Lickunas A. ↓, Burba M. ↑,
    • 77', Dolznikov A. ↓, Jankauskas E. ↑,
    • 77', Kucys A. ↓, Venckus I. ↑,
    • 87', Mutallimov T. ↓, Isgandarli V. ↑,
    • 90+3', Khaybulaev A. ↓, Huseynov C. ↑,

    Preview

  • Lithuania is ranked FIFA: 149., and Azerbaijan is ranked FIFA: 126..
  • Azerbaijan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
  • The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
  • In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Lithuania has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Lithuania
    UEFA Nations League
    24.09.26 Liechtenstein - Lithuania 0:2 ✺
    Baltic Cup
    09.06.26 Estonia - Lithuania 1:0 ✺
    06.06.26 Lithuania - Latvia 2:1 penalties ✺
    Friendly
    29.03.26 Lithuania - Georgia 0:2 ✺
    26.03.26 Moldova - Lithuania 0:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1
    WLWLW
    - Azerbaijan
    Friendly
    23.09.26 Azerbaijan - Tajikistan 1:0 ✺
    09.06.26 Azerbaijan - San Marino 2:1 ✺
    05.06.26 Azerbaijan - Malta 0:2 ✺
    FIFA Series
    30.03.26 Azerbaijan - Sierra Leone 2:1 penalties ✺
    27.03.26 Azerbaijan - Saint Lucia 6:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3
    WWLWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Friendly
    25.03.19 Azerbaijan - Lithuania 0:0

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