Match Info

WSL - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: St Helens Stadium (St Helens)

Referee: Davis W. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play
Canada	Sportsnet+
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport LaLiga
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, SuperSport Variety 2
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Liverpool LFC		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	10	6	1.19
	9.8	5.5	1.21
	10.8	6.06	1.23
	10.10	5.46	1.26	Watch
	10.1	6.09	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.16 ↑ (7.34)	5.82 ↑ (4.76)	1.23 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool LFC
9.1%

Draw
15.8%

Manchester City
75.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

19.5%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

18.7%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool LFC than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Liverpool LFC - Manchester City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Manchester City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Borggrafe R. (G) 4. Fisk G. (C) 23. Bonner G. 17. Clark J. 3. Evans G. 24. Kerr S. 8. Nagano F. 14. Hobinger M. 18. Holland C. 13. Enderby M. 7. Kapocs C.	31. Yamashita A. (G) 18. Casparij K. 4. Rose J. 5. Greenwood A. (C) 15. Ouahabi L. 19. Blindkilde L. 25. Hasegawa Y. 20. Fujino A. 10. Miedema V. 24. Beney I. 9. Shaw K.
Substitutes
10. Haug S. 22. Kirby F. M. (G) 15. Lundgaard S. 19. MacLean K. 11. Olsson B. 5. Shimizu R. 34. Silcock H. 6. Szymczak E.	7. Coombs L. 35. Keating K. (G) 3. Layzell N. 22. Lohmann S. 54. Oldroyd A. 28. Prior G. 62. Shikhshabekova S. 44. Thomas C. 13. Wienroither L.
Coaches
Taylor G.	Jeglertz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Hobinger M. ↓, MacLean K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 0, Kapocs C. ⚽, Holland C. (A),
55', Greenwood A. 🟨,
61', Miedema V. ↓, Coombs L. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Beney I. ⚽,
83', Blindkilde L. ↓, Lohmann S. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Fujino A. ⚽,
90+3', Kerr S. ↓, Haug S. ↑,
90+4', Ouahabi L. ↓, Layzell N. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 0.

Liverpool is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Manchester City is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Liverpool may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Manchester City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Manchester City is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Liverpool: Bernabe A. (Muscle Injury) Laws R. (Hand Injury) Shaw Z. (Knee Injury) Woodham L. (Knock)

There will not play in Manchester City: Davies M. (Knee Injury) Fowler M. (Knee Injury) Hemp L. (Ankle Injury) Kerolin (Lower-Body Injury) Murphy L. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:41. (average 0.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool LFC
English WSL
05.10.25	London City Lionesses - Liverpool LFC	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Liverpool LFC - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Leicester City - Liverpool LFC	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Liverpool LFC - Everton	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly Women
20.08.25	Manchester United - Liverpool LFC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLLT
- Manchester City WFC
English WSL
04.10.25	Manchester City - Arsenal LFC	3:2 ✺
28.09.25	Manchester City - London City Lionesses	4:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
24.09.25	Manchester City - Everton	3:1 ✺
English WSL
19.09.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City	1:5 ✺
12.09.25	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL
16.02.25	Manchester City - Liverpool LFC	4:0
13.10.24	Liverpool LFC - Manchester City	1:2
30.03.24	Liverpool LFC - Manchester City	1:4
21.01.24	Manchester City - Liverpool LFC	5:1
English League Cup Women
08.11.23	Liverpool LFC - Manchester City	3:4
English WSL
07.05.23	Liverpool LFC - Manchester City	2:1
English League Cup Women
07.12.22	Liverpool LFC - Manchester City	0:2

Liverpool LFC - Manchester City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide