The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Liverpool LFC 33.4%
Draw 25.4%
Manchester United 41.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.2%
25.2%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
25.8%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liverpool LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liverpool LFC's form might have worsened.
Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool LFC than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liverpool LFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Liverpool LFC - Manchester United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Keating K. (G) 2. Parry L. 23. Agrez S. 4. Fisk G. (C) 16. Woodham L. 8. Nagano F. 14. Hobinger M. 25. Bergstrom A. 87. Trueman M. 13. Enderby M. 26. Itamura M.
25. Leitzig J. (G) 22. Hill S. 4. Le Tissier M. (C) 17. Janssen D. 2. Sandberg A. 16. Bernal R. 13. Awujo S. 23. Jusu Bah M. 15. Zigiotti Olme J. 36. Griffiths M. 24. Schuller L.
Substitutes
29. Bernabe A. 17. Clark J. 9. Endemann V. 7. Kapocs C. 22. Kirby F. (G) 11. Olsson B. 6. Ramos N. 36. Shaw Z. 28. Ward M.
5. Lundkvist H. 6. Medina A. 20. Miyazawa H. 8. Park J. 26. Simpson J. 10. Terland E. 7. Toone E. 91. Tullis-Joyce P. (G) 19. Wangerheim E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Schuller L. ⚽, Janssen D. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Griffiths M. ⚽, Awujo S. (A),
44', 0 - 3, Griffiths M. ⚽, Zigiotti Olme J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Parry L. ↓, Ward M. ↑,
46', Sandberg A. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
56', Janssen D. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
56', Zigiotti Olme J. ↓, Miyazawa H. ↑,
56', Fisk G. ↓, Clark J. ↑,
56', Nagano F. ↓, Ramos N. ↑,
64', Agrez S. ↓, Shaw Z. ↑,
65', Itamura M. ↓, Kapocs C. ↑,
67', Hill S. 🟨,
72', 0 - 4, Jusu Bah M. ⚽,
76', 1 - 4, Kapocs C. ⚽, Bergstrom A. (A),
78', 1 - 5, Le Tissier M. ⚽,
85', 2 - 5, Kapocs C. ⚽, Woodham L. (A),
88', 3 - 5, Kapocs C. ⚽,
90+1', Bernal R. ↓, Toone E. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 1.
In recent outings, Liverpool has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Man Utd is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Man Utd is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:26 (averaging 0.6:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Liverpool against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 0.7:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
W
L
L
Pts
1
Manchester Utd W
3
3
0
0
0
20:5
9
6
Liverpool W
3
2
0
0
1
11:10
6
Last Results with these Odds
Liverpool LFC - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.21%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.