The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aston Villa 20.3%
Draw 22.2%
Liverpool LFC 57.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
23.1%
25%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
24.7%
52.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Liverpool LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liverpool LFC's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool LFC than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Aston Villa - Liverpool LFC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Okuma A. (G) 4. Patten A. (C) 3. Harviken M. 24. Deslandes O. 14. Wilms L. 5. Kielland J. 25. Taylor M. 17. Grant C. 16. Maritz N. 20. Vangsgaard A. 19. Murphy L.
12. Keating K. (G) 25. Bergstrom A. 17. Clark J. 4. Fisk G. (C) 29. Bernabe A. 8. Nagano F. 13. Enderby M. 7. Kapocs C. 6. Ramos N. 19. MacLean K. 11. Olsson B.
Substitutes
22. Imuran R. 6. Jean-Francois O. 38. Maltby R. 27. McAulay M. 18. Mullet G. 1. Ramsey E. (G)
48. Breen I. 9. Endemann V. 14. Hobinger M. 26. Itamura M. 22. Kirby F. (G) 36. Shaw Z. 87. Trueman M. 28. Ward M. 16. Woodham L.
Coaches
Sorensen B.
Taylor G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Ramos N. ⚽, Nagano F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Murphy L. ↓, Imuran R. ↑,
46', Taylor M. ↓, Jean-Francois O. ↑,
46', Enderby M. ↓, Hobinger M. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Grant C. ⚽, Okuma A. (A),
65', Ramos N. ↓, Endemann V. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Fisk G. (Own goal),
86', Nagano F. ↓, Itamura M. ↑,
89', Vangsgaard A. ↓, Mullet G. ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th in the WSL (Relegation) and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Liverpool could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Liverpool holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Aston Villa: Baijings J.
(Knee Injury)
Daly R.
(Inactive)
Jean-Francois O.
(Inactive)
Melgard K.
(Inactive)
Roebuck E.
(Shoulder Injury).
Confirmed absences for Liverpool: Csillag A.
(Calf Injury)
Haug S.
(Ankle Injury)
Holland C.
(Muscle Injury)
Josendal A.
(Thigh Injury)
Parry L.
(Calf Injury)
Ward M.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Aston Villa: Imuran R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Kearns M.
(Ankle Injury)
Parker L.
(Ankle Injury).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:18 (averaging 1.4:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aston Villa against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8:9 goals (averaging 2:2.3 per game).