Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 22

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)


	Livorno		Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.75	5.5
	1.47	3.93	5.78
	1.45	3.95	6.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.58)	3.88 ↑ (3.62)	5.9 ↑ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
61.4%

Draw
23.3%

Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.9%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Livorno is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Livorno won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Livorno won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie D - Group E
28.01.24	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Livorno	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Livorno - Mobilieri Ponsacco	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Grosseto - Livorno	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Livorno - Poggibonsi	0:1 ✺
20.12.23	Livorno - Orvietana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTTLW
- GSD Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano
Italian Serie D - Group E
28.01.24	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Trestina	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Poggibonsi - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	3:2 ✺
14.01.24	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Figline	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	SanGiovanniValdarno - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:1 ✺
20.12.23	Follonica Gavorrano - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Livorno - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	2:1 penalties
Italian Serie D - Group E
08.10.23	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Livorno	0:1
05.02.23	Livorno - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:0
02.10.22	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Livorno	0:0

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