Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 20

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)


	Livorno		Mobilieri Ponsacco

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.8	9.5
	1.27	4.96	8.94
	1.25	5	10.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.32)	4.92 ↑ (4.55)	9.58 ↑ (7.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
72.1%

Draw
18.5%

Mobilieri Ponsacco
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

19.8%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

14.5%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Mobilieri Ponsacco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-21.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Livorno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mobilieri Ponsacco than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mobilieri Ponsacco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Livorno - Mobilieri Ponsacco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Livorno is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mobilieri Ponsacco is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Livorno is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Livorno won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie D - Group E
14.01.24	Grosseto - Livorno	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Livorno - Poggibonsi	0:1 ✺
20.12.23	Livorno - Orvietana	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Trestina - Livorno	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	SanGiovanniValdarno - Livorno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLT
- Mobilieri Ponsacco
Italian Serie D - Group E
14.01.24	Mobilieri Ponsacco - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Trestina - Mobilieri Ponsacco	2:2 ✺
20.12.23	Cenaia - Mobilieri Ponsacco	2:2 ✺
10.12.23	Follonica Gavorrano - Mobilieri Ponsacco	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Tau Altopascio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
23.09.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Livorno	1:3
12.02.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Livorno	1:1

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