Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 3

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Livorno		Guidonia Montecelio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.2	4.33
	1.77	3.43	4.76
	1.85	3.22	4.44	Watch
	1.72	3.35	4.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.89)	3.3 ↑ (3.22)	4.53 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
51.9%

Draw
27.8%

Guidonia Montecelio
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

28.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

28.2%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Livorno - Guidonia Montecelio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Livorno (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 26. Noce M. 6. Monaco S. 49. Baldi L. 14. Biondi K. 8. Welbeck N. 28. Hamlili Z. 19. Antoni E. 70. Cioffi A. 9. Dionisi F. 13. Di Carmine S.	1. Stellato G. (G) 6. Malomo A. 2. Esempio S. 5. Cristini A. 8. Errico A. 33. Tascone S. 14. Santoro S. 99. Tessiore A. 77. Zappella D. 10. Spavone A. 90. Bernardotto G.
Substitutes
16. Calvosa A. 15. Ghezzi S. 20. Haveri K. 11. Malva A. 23. Marinari J. 77. Mawete J. C. 5. Nwachukwu S. J. 4. Odjer M. 17. Panaioli L. 18. Panattoni M. 1. Tani F. (G)	9. Cali A. 18. Calzone S. 20. Falleni A. 80. Franchini S. 11. Marchioro R. 21. Mastrantonio V. 12. Mazzi G. (G) 13. Mule E. 24. Russo L. 7. Sannipoli D. 17. Stefanelli F. 32. Zuppel D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Esempio S. 🟨,
36', Tascone S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Tascone S. ↓, Sannipoli D. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Bernardotto G. ⚽,
69', Dionisi F. ↓, Mawete J. C. ↑,
69', Baldi L. ↓, Panaioli L. ↑,
70', Monaco S. 🟨,
73', Cioffi A. 🟨,
80', Tessiore A. ↓, Franchini S. ↑,
80', Di Carmine S. ↓, Panattoni M. ↑,
80', Welbeck N. ↓, Odjer M. ↑,
86', Biondi K. ↓, Malva A. ↑,
87', Bernardotto G. ↓, Mastrantonio V. ↑,
87', Spavone A. ↓, Zuppel D. ↑,
90+2', Odjer M. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Guidonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Guidonia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Livorno is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
30.08.25	Juventus U23 - Livorno	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Livorno - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Sassari Torres - Livorno	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Livorno - Seravezza Pozzi	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Virtus Entella - Livorno	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
01.09.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Pineto	0:2 ✺
22.08.25	Perugia - Guidonia Montecelio	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Benevento - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Latina - Guidonia Montecelio	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Poggibonsi - Guidonia Montecelio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
18.12.24	Livorno - Guidonia Montecelio	2:3

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