Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 26

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)


	Livorno		Montespaccato

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	4.75
	1.67	3.34	4.7
	1.73	3.3	4.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)	3.38 ↓ (3.6)	4.73 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
54.1%

Draw
26.7%

Montespaccato
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

24.3%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Montespaccato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Livorno is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Montespaccato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Livorno is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Livorno won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie D - Group E
26.02.23	Grosseto - Livorno	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Livorno - Città di Castello	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Livorno	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Livorno - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Seravezza Pozzi - Livorno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTWT
- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
26.02.23	Montespaccato - Ostia Mare	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Montespaccato - Mobilieri Ponsacco	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	Grosseto - Montespaccato	1:3 ✺
05.02.23	Montespaccato - Seravezza Pozzi	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Città di Castello - Montespaccato	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
30.10.22	Montespaccato - Livorno	1:0

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