Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Livorno		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.3
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	2.06	2.95	3.45
	2.12	3.19	3.44
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.14	3.02	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.27)	3.18 ↑ (2.99)	3.42 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
44.4%

Draw
28.8%

Pergolettese
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

21.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Livorno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pergolettese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Livorno - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Livorno will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
25.10.20	Renate - Livorno	0:2 ✺
21.10.20	Livorno - Novara	2:3 ✺
18.10.20	Olbia - Livorno	1:1 ✺
07.10.20	Piacenza - Livorno	2:0 ✺
03.10.20	Livorno - Lecco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTLT
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
25.10.20	Pergolettese - Pro Patria	1:2 ✺
22.10.20	Como - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Pergolettese - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
11.10.20	Pergolettese - Grosseto	1:2 ✺
07.10.20	Pistoiese - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWLT

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