Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 34

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Giuseppe Voltini (Crema)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Pergolettese		Pro Patria

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.4	4.55	Watch
	1.86	3.56	4.04
	1.67	3.4	5.19	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.84	3.26	4.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.84)	3.36 ↓ (3.56)	4.51 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
52.1%

Draw
27.4%

Pro Patria
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

25.8%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.9%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97%	0%	3%

Pergolettese - Pro Patria Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Pergolettese (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pergolettese will win (32 of 33 users predict this - 96.97%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.12% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pergolettese will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Pergolettese (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cordaro L. (G) 33. Capoferri M. 14. Lambrughi A. 5. Milesi L. 76. Roversi L. 21. Careccia S. 4. Arini M. 20. Tremolada M. 19. Pala A. 11. Corti N. 9. Petrovic T.	28. Sala A. (G) 6. Sassaro A. 39. Motolese M. 33. Pogliano C. 11. Renelus B. 5. Di Munno A. 40. Schiro T. 31. Felicioli G. 70. Desogus J. 17. Tunjov G. 10. Mastroianni F.
Substitutes
27. Aidoo M. 3. Antolini J. 26. Bane A. 2. Catena E. M. 22. Doldi F. (G) 6. Dore S. 10. Ferrandino D. 12. Finardi E. (G) 80. Jaouhari Z. 23. Meconi E. 70. Orlandi A. 72. Padalino A. 77. Pessolani G. 99. Rossetti M.	13. Aliata T. 14. Citterio G. 25. Ferri D. 23. Frosali J. 27. Giudici L. 20. Mora C. 7. Orfei A. 4. Reggiori P. 21. Ricordi T. 1. Rovida W. (G) 8. Schiavone A. 19. Travaglini C. 9. Udoh K. 22. Zamarian M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Careccia S. ⚽,
38', Desogus J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Schiro T. ↓, Giudici L. ↑,
60', Di Munno A. 🟨,
61', Di Munno A. ↓, Schiavone A. ↑,
61', Desogus J. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
63', Roversi L. 🟨,
65', Pala A. ↓, Meconi E. ↑,
70', Renelus B. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
71', Careccia S. ↓, Jaouhari Z. ↑,
71', Roversi L. ↓, Aidoo M. ↑,
75', Felicioli G. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
75', Tremolada M. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
75', Corti N. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
79', Petrovic T. 🟨,
81', Arini M. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Citterio G. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Aidoo M. ⚽,
90+3', Dore S. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 1.

Pergolettese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pro Patria's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Pergolettese is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pergolettese won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Pergolettese	9	2	5	2	5:6	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Pro Patria - the odds 3.79 are the expected chance of winning is 24.25%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
21.03.26	Giana Erminio - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Pergolettese - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Novara - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Pergolettese - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Pergolettese - Triestina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLTWW
- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
22.03.26	Pro Patria - Lecco	1:4 ✺
15.03.26	Lumezzane - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Pro Patria - Alcione	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Ospitaletto - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Pro Patria - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.11.25	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	3:1
25.04.25	Pergolettese - Pro Patria	2:1
15.12.24	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.08.24	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
10.02.24	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	2:0
29.09.23	Pergolettese - Pro Patria	0:1
18.02.23	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	1:2

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