Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday


	Renate		Livorno

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.65	4.5
	2.08	2.65	3.85
	2.13	2.76	4.31
	2.2	2.9	3.6
	2.07	2.92	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.95)	2.78 ↓ (3.16)	4.03 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
44.1%

Draw
33.1%

Livorno
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

21.5%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-4%)

Renate - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Renate is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Livorno is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Livorno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Renate is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Renate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Renate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
21.10.20	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	1:0 ✺
18.10.20	Renate - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
11.10.20	Pontedera - Renate	0:1 ✺
07.10.20	Renate - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Grosseto - Renate	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
21.10.20	Livorno - Novara	2:3 ✺
18.10.20	Olbia - Livorno	1:1 ✺
07.10.20	Piacenza - Livorno	2:0 ✺
03.10.20	Livorno - Lecco	2:2 ✺
27.09.20	AlbinoLeffe - Livorno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega Pro - Promotion
14.05.17	Livorno - Renate	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
26.02.17	Renate - Livorno	0:0
09.10.16	Livorno - Renate	1:0

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