Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 27

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)


	Livyi Bereh Kyiv		UCSA

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.15	11.5
	1.27	5.31	11.33
	1.46	3.68	7.6	Watch
	1.25	4.6	11
	1.2	4.91	15.5
	1.3	4.3	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	4.66 ↑ (4.4)	10.79 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livyi Bereh Kyiv
71.7%

Draw
19.8%

UCSA
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

20.1%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

19.7%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livyi Bereh Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Livyi Bereh Kyiv - UCSA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zhmurko R. (G) 27. Astakhov E. 44. Banada E. (C) 25. Kosovskyi S. 13. Kovalenko I. 5. Samar V. 7. Shastal D. 6. Sidnney 15. Voloshyn V. 17. Vorobchak N. 29. Wendell	12. Postemskyi O. (G) 73. Castro P. 11. Emere A. 18. Lebedev S. 15. Osman O. 32. Petko S. 45. Sabiyev D. 3. Sydorenko D. 7. Sytnykov M. (C) 6. Yuvkhimets R. 28. Zhdanovych O.
Substitutes
90. Bonsu N. 8. Chepurnyi A. 18. Dedukh R. 10. Diego Henrique 11. Galoyan S. 9. Gunichev Y. 37. Heresh R. 28. Kalinin O. 4. Kotukha I. 1. Mekhaniv M. (G) 22. Tishchenko V. 21. Voloshyn N.	47. Dziubuk I. 20. Kharchenko M. 99. Kovalev A. (G) 10. Matheusinho 38. Nemetskov M. 78. Wendell 5. Yevdokymov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Sabiyev D. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Emere A. ⚽,
25', Sidnney 🟨,
44', Castro P. 🟨,
45+3', Castro P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lebedev S. ↓, Yevdokymov A. ↑,
46', Emere A. ↓, Kharchenko M. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Kosovskyi S. ⚽, Voloshyn V. (A),
49', 2 - 1, Shastal D. (Penalty Awarded),
54', Petko S. ↓, Wendell ↑,
62', Astakhov E. ↓, Kotukha I. ↑,
62', Wendell ↓, Voloshyn N. ↑,
75', Banada E. 🟨,
83', Voloshyn V. 🟨,
83', Shastal D. ↓, Bonsu N. ↑,
83', Voloshyn V. ↓, Tishchenko V. ↑,
90+1', Vorobchak N. ↓, Galoyan S. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Galoyan S. ⚽, Voloshyn N. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 7).

Livyi Bereh is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, UCSA has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Livyi Bereh is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Livyi Bereh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	UCSA	10	2	4	4	14:17	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livyi Bereh Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.05.26	Vorskla Poltava - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Nyva Ternopil - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Metalist Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
08.04.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTWL
- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.05.26	UCSA - Chernihiv	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - UCSA	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	UCSA - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Probiy Horodenka - UCSA	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	UCSA - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.10.25	UCSA - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1

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