Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	UCSA		Viktoriya Sumy

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.10	2.10
	3.1	3.25	2.12
	2.96	3.2	2.12
	3.04	3.38	2.16	Watch
	3.08	3.25	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.72)	3.24 ↑ (3.15)	2.13 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCSA
29.7%

Draw
27.9%

Viktoriya Sumy
42.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

28.6%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Viktoriya Sumy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoriya Sumy than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viktoriya Sumy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

UCSA - Viktoriya Sumy Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Viktoriya will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kovalyov A. (G) 73. Castro P. 70. Irodovskyi D. 9. Khoblenko O. 35. Korrea S. 42. Makhnev D. 10. Matheusinho (C) 15. Osman O. 7. Sytnykov M. 49. Vitinho 6. Yuvkhymets R.	31. Kucheruk V. (G) 9. Chernov O. 17. Dedyaev A. 27. Dolinskyi D. 6. Khamelyuk V. 77. Kharchenko M. 70. Lyegostayev A. 4. Melnyk D. 16. Novotryasov A. 25. Sharay S. 33. Ulyanov D. (C)
Substitutes
20. Andrushchenko M. 11. Emere A. 19. Goulart G. 8. Kireev A. 71. Ruan Santos 45. Sabiyev D. 87. Wojciechowski V. 31. Yushchyshyn V. (G) 4. Zakhidnyi P. 28. Zhdanovych O.	18. Dedukh R. 8. Dobrokhotov Y. 7. Hryshchenko D. 45. Ilchuk I. 15. Kirichenko D. 11. Lebedenko O. 32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 29. Ryabyi A. 28. Ryabyi D. 22. Shpyryonok A. 5. Vasyliev O. 1. Yurchenko N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Ulyanov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Ulyanov D. 🟨,
48', Sharay S. ↓, Ryabyi A. ↑,
53', Dolinskyi D. ↓, Dedukh R. ↑,
58', Kharchenko M. ↓, Kirichenko D. ↑,
58', Lyegostayev A. ↓, Hryshchenko D. ↑,
58', Chernov O. ↓, Shpyryonok A. ↑,
61', Vitinho ↓, Andrushchenko M. ↑,
61', Irodovskyi D. ↓, Goulart G. ↑,
73', Hiago Cena 🟨,
76', Makhnev D. 🟨,
76', Khoblenko O. ↓, Emere A. ↑,
83', Dedukh R. 🟨,
83', Sytnykov M. ↓, Ruan Santos ↑,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th and 1st in the Promotion ~ Premier League).

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Viktoriya may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, UCSA has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:9 (averaging 0.8:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for UCSA against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Viktoria	12	7	3	2	16:9	7	24
13	UCSA	12	2	5	5	15:19	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.09.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - UCSA	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	UCSA - Chernihiv	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Metalist Kharkiv - UCSA	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	UCSA - Inhulets	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	UCSA - Kolos Kovalivka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
21.09.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Nyva Ternopil	1:3 ✺
14.09.26	Oleksandriya - Viktoriya Sumy	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Probiy Horodenka - Viktoriya Sumy	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.04.26	UCSA - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1
05.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - UCSA	2:0
27.11.24	Viktoriya Sumy - UCSA	5:1
29.09.24	UCSA - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1

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