Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 7

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	UCSA		Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.20	2.85
	2.37	3.07	2.76
	2.24	3.12	3.12	Watch
	2.27	3.15	2.93
	2.42	3.09	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.42)	3.13 ↑ (3.09)	2.85 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCSA
39.2%

Draw
29%

Chernihiv
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

28.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.5%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCSA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

UCSA - Chernihiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Yushchyshyn V. (G) 20. Andrushchenko M. 21. Dvorovenko V. 9. Khoblenko O. 32. Petko S. (C) 45. Sabiyev D. 17. Sklyar O. 49. Vitinho 87. Wojciechowski V. 6. Yuvkhymets R. 4. Zakhidnyi P.	35. Tatarenko M. (C) 15. Bezgubchenko D. 20. Fateev D. 13. Galoyan S. 2. Galstyan E. 12. Kartushov Y. 10. Koydan V. 11. Novikov A. 44. Plakhtyr D. 77. Serdyuk M. 23. Zenchenko O.
Substitutes
11. Emere A. 70. Irodovskyi D. 12. Kovalyov A. (G) 42. Makhnev D. 10. Matheusinho 15. Osman O. 77. Potskhveria I. 23. Shershen M. 7. Sytnykov M.	26. Azizov D. 21. Bezborodko D. 8. Bybik A. 24. Didok D. 99. Gerasymenko D. (G) 7. Myronenko D. 33. Porokhnya A. 87. Rogozynskyi V. 55. Romanchenko A. 6. Shalfeev Y. 3. Shumylo M. 38. Shushko P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Zakhidnyi P. 🟨,
13', Andrushchenko M. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Khoblenko O. ⚽,
18', Plakhtyr D. 🟨,
19', Dvorovenko V. 🟨,
42', Galoyan S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', Novikov A. 🟨,
51', 2 - 0, Wojciechowski V. ⚽,
55', Sklyar O. ↓, Potskhveria I. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Novikov A. ⚽,
60', Serdyuk M. ↓, Shalfeev Y. ↑,
60', Galoyan S. ↓, Rogozynskyi V. ↑,
62', Andrushchenko M. ↓, Emere A. ↑,
66', Novikov A. ↓, Bezborodko D. ↑,
66', Bezgubchenko D. ↓, Porokhnya A. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Kartushov Y. ⚽,
75', Koydan V. ↓, Myronenko D. ↑,
79', Vitinho ↓, Irodovskyi D. ↑,
79', Khoblenko O. ↓, Sytnykov M. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).

Recent form of UCSA has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chernihiv has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, UCSA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, UCSA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	UCSA	10	2	4	4	14:17	-3	10
14	FC Chernihiv	9	1	4	4	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Metalist Kharkiv - UCSA	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	UCSA - Inhulets	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	UCSA - Kolos Kovalivka	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.08.26	Poltava - UCSA	0:0 ✺
07.08.26	UCSA - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLTW
- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Oleksandriya - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Chernihiv - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Probiy Horodenka - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Chernihiv - Kulykiv-Bilka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.05.26	UCSA - Chernihiv	0:2
13.10.25	Chernihiv - UCSA	2:0

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