Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 10

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Vorskla Poltava		Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	6.3
	1.74	3.39	5.02	Watch
	1.47	3.7	6.59
	1.6	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.45)	3.6 ↓ (4.15)	5.73 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vorskla Poltava
58.4%

Draw
25.6%

Chernihiv
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

22.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

16.6%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vorskla Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vorskla Poltava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vorskla Poltava - Chernihiv Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vorskla (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Vorskla Poltava will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lavuta K. (G) 11. Baydal A. 9. Burenko M. 14. Chibueze P. 77. Chidomere A. 2. Dmytruk T. 97. Korablin T. 5. Prikhna D. (C) 23. Shershen M. 8. Tatarkov M. 7. Voytsekhovskyi V.	35. Tatarenko M. (C) 13. Bezgubchenko D. 8. Bybik A. 20. Fateev D. 12. Kartushov Y. 10. Koydan V. 9. Kulyk D. 33. Porokhnya A. 6. Shalfeev Y. 3. Shumylo M. 38. Shushko P.
Substitutes
20. Andrushchenko M. 47. Baginskyi N. A. 29. Chervak V. 21. Dvorovenko V. 51. Grechko D. (G) 10. Myshenko B. 22. Potskhveria I. 32. Romanenko D. 43. Romanets E. 17. Semotyuk V. 99. Serdyuk A. 31. Vasetskyi B. (G)	17. Chaban V. 24. Dmytrovych D. D. 2. Galstyan E. 7. Myronenko D. 22. Roshchynskyi O. (G) 21. Shkolnyi V. 88. Stolyarchuk A. 25. Volskyi D. 23. Zenchenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Dmytruk T. 🟨,
44', Kulyk D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Burenko M. ↓, Andrushchenko M. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Kulyk D. ⚽,
71', Korablin T. ↓, Dvorovenko V. ↑,
79', 🟨,
80', Baydal A. ↓, Myshenko B. ↑,
81', Kulyk D. ↓, Zenchenko O. ↑,
81', Shumylo M. ↓, Myronenko D. ↑,
81', Bybik A. ↓, Volskyi D. ↑,
86', Bezgubchenko D. ↓, Chaban V. ↑,
90+1', Shalfeev Y. ↓, Galstyan E. ↑,
90+5', Porokhnya A. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).

Recent performances by Vorskla have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chernihiv has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Vorskla is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.10.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Vorskla Poltava	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Vorskla Poltava - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Probiy Horodenka - Vorskla Poltava	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Vorskla Poltava - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Inhulets - Vorskla Poltava	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWTL
- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.10.25	Chernihiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Nyva Ternopil - Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.25	Chernihiv - Kryvbas	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.09.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Chernihiv	4:1 ✺
31.08.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

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