Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 21

Date: 14 April 2023, Friday

Location: Stebonheath Park (Llanelli)


	Llanelli		Swansea University

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.2	7.4
	1.24	5.31	8.71
	1.23	5.85	9.8
	1.33	4.8	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.4)	5.29 ↑ (4.62)	8.13 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli
71.7%

Draw
17.1%

Swansea University
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

19.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

18.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llanelli's performance.

Swansea University has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swansea University might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llanelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea University than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swansea University could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Swansea University could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Llanelli have a series of home games.

In this match Llanelli is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Llanelli won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Llanelli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru South
10.04.23	Ynyshir Albions - Llanelli	2:7 ✺
07.04.23	Llanelli - Pontardawe Town	0:4 ✺
31.03.23	Abergavenny Town - Llanelli	1:0 ✺
24.03.23	Llanelli - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2 ✺
18.03.23	Pontardawe Town - Llanelli	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLTW
- Swansea University FC
Welsh Cymru South
07.04.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Swansea University	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Trefelin - Swansea University	2:2 ✺
17.03.23	Swansea University - Afan Lido	1:3 ✺
10.03.23	Swansea University - Carmarthen Town	0:5 ✺
04.03.23	Swansea University - Goytre United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
24.09.22	Swansea University - Llanelli	0:2
02.10.21	Swansea University - Llanelli	2:2
24.08.21	Llanelli - Swansea University	1:1

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