Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 28

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Trefelin		Swansea University

	1	X	2
	1.74	3.61	3.44
	1.75	3.98	3.8
	1.8	3.65	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)	3.75 ↑ (3.61)	3.6 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefelin
51%

Draw
24%

Swansea University
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.2%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

23.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Swansea University has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea University than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Trefelin has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Swansea University is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Swansea University could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Swansea University have a series of home games.

In this match Trefelin is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Trefelin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Trefelin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
10.03.23	Cambrian United - Trefelin	6:0 ✺
04.03.23	Trefelin - Llantwit Major	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Trefelin - Taffs Well AFC	0:3 ✺
17.02.23	Ammanford - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
10.02.23	Trefelin - Barry Town United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Swansea University FC
Welsh Cymru South
17.03.23	Swansea University - Afan Lido	1:3 ✺
10.03.23	Swansea University - Carmarthen Town	0:5 ✺
04.03.23	Swansea University - Goytre United	0:0 ✺
24.02.23	Swansea University - Abergavenny Town	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Ynyshir Albions - Swansea University	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
19.08.22	Swansea University - Trefelin	2:4
12.02.22	Swansea University - Trefelin	3:3
23.10.21	Trefelin - Swansea University	0:2

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