Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 17

Date: 17 March 2023, Friday


	Swansea University		Afan Lido

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.55	1.93
	4.83	4.74	1.44
	5.5	4.55	1.46
	5.4	4.3	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↑ (2.81)	4.29 ↑ (3.37)	1.57 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea University
19.7%

Draw
21.5%

Afan Lido
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.2%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

24.9%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea University has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swansea University's form might have worsened.

Afan Lido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Afan Lido's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea University than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swansea University, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Afan Lido, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Swansea University - Afan Lido Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Swansea University will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Afan Lido will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 and 4).

Recent matches Swansea University is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Afan Lido is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Swansea University could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Afan Lido will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Swansea University won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Swansea University won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea University FC
Welsh Cymru South
10.03.23	Swansea University - Carmarthen Town	0:5 ✺
04.03.23	Swansea University - Goytre United	0:0 ✺
24.02.23	Swansea University - Abergavenny Town	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Ynyshir Albions - Swansea University	2:1 ✺
10.02.23	Swansea University - Llantwit Major	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTTLL
- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
03.03.23	Afan Lido - Llanelli	0:1 ✺
17.02.23	Afan Lido - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Pontardawe Town - Afan Lido	1:2 ✺
03.02.23	Afan Lido - Carmarthen Town	3:0 ✺
27.01.23	Goytre United - Afan Lido	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
26.08.22	Afan Lido - Swansea University	7:1
05.03.22	Swansea University - Afan Lido	2:0
27.07.21	Afan Lido - Swansea University	0:3

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