Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio)

Referee: Ortega C. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fubo Latino 2


	Llaneros SA		Cúcuta Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.35	4.7	Watch
	1.79	3.49	4.9
	1.85	3.36	4.42	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.5
	1.78	3.36	4.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)	3.35 ↓ (3.45)	4.66 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros SA
52%

Draw
27.9%

Cúcuta Deportivo
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

25.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Cúcuta Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Llaneros SA - Cúcuta Deportivo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ortega M. (G) 29. Riascos L. 23. Moralez A. 21. Meza F. (C) 16. Escobar Salcedo J. 77. Rincon K. 95. Jhon Vasquez 10. Ospina N. 7. Miranda L. 33. Kelvin Osorio 15. Blanco J.	24. Abadia F. (G) 26. Abonia Y. 3. Calcaterra D. (C) 4. Quinones J. 5. Mejia V. 30. Montano B. 16. Londono K. 7. Berdugo L. 19. Valencia J. 90. Hernandez L. 11. Arizalas E.
Substitutes
35. Caicedo K. 99. Castro J. 14. Laszo E. 12. Loaiza J. (G) 11. Marimon L. 94. Medranda J. 4. Pertuz J. 8. Ramirez J. 3. Vidal V.	80. Albornoz O. 70. Cano A. 23. Castaneda F. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. 6. Orozco S. 9. Peralta J. 1. Ramirez J. (G)
Coaches
Garcia J.	Paez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Blanco J. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Ospina N. ⚽, Miranda L. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Arizalas E. ⚽, Berdugo L. (A),
26', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,
44', Riascos L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Riascos L. ↓, Pertuz J. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Blanco J. ⚽, Ospina N. (A),
55', Valencia J. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
57', Miranda L. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
57', Blanco J. ↓, Marimon L. ↑,
58', Mejia V. ↓, Orozco S. ↑,
68', Montano B. ↓, Duarte Barajas E. M. ↑,
68', Ospina N. ↓, Caicedo K. ↑,
69', Arizalas E. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
69', Londono K. ↓, Cano A. ↑,
75', Berdugo L. 🟨,
81', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Calcaterra D. ⚽, Berdugo L. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llaneros SA won 4.

Llaneros SA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cúcuta is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Llaneros SA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Llaneros SA is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Llaneros SA won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Llaneros SA won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cucuta	14	6	3	5	17:19	-2	21
13	Llaneros	15	5	2	8	16:20	-4	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
13.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Llaneros SA	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Llaneros SA - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Llaneros SA - Inter Bogotá	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Llaneros SA - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Millonarios - Llaneros SA	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTTL
- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera A
14.03.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Cali	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:2 ✺
23.02.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportes Tolima	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Alianza Valledupar - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
11.09.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Llaneros SA	0:1
31.05.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Llaneros SA	1:3
26.05.24	Llaneros SA - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:1
03.04.24	Llaneros SA - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:0
11.11.23	Llaneros SA - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0
18.10.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Llaneros SA	3:2
11.10.23	Llaneros SA - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1

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