The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Valledupar 45.4%
Draw 30.9%
Cúcuta Deportivo 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
29.7%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
29.7%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Alianza Valledupar - Cúcuta Deportivo Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Chaverra J. (G) 24. Banguero E. 7. Castillo J. 19. Fiorelli F. 5. Franco P. (C) 26. Lasso J. 6. Meza Mercado E. W. 8. Munoz J. 17. Pardo F. 20. Valencia L. 23. Viveros J.
1. Ramirez J. (G) 26. Abonia Y. 11. Arizalas E. 7. Berdugo L. 3. Calcaterra D. 23. Castaneda F. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. (C) 90. Hernandez L. 16. Londono K. 5. Mejia V. 28. Rodriguez S.
Substitutes
15. Esparragoza C. 10. Fernandez W. 22. Figueroa J. 27. Londono Y. 28. Osorio J. 16. Rosales Y. 30. Valoyes J. 14. Villegas C. 1. Wallens J. (G)
77. Beltran H. 70. Cano A. 30. Montano B. 12. Munoz D. (G) 4. Quinones J. 13. Rodriguez B. 33. Tamara S.
Coaches
Bodhert H.
Paez R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Munoz J. ⚽, Pardo F. (A),
16', Castillo J. 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Berdugo L. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Duarte Barajas E. M. 🟨,
43', Calcaterra D. 🟨,
45', Abonia Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Meza Mercado E. W. ↓, Fernandez W. ↑,
46', Valencia L. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
46', Fiorelli F. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
53', Arizalas E. 🟨,
59', Arizalas E. ↓, Cano A. ↑,
59', Castaneda F. ↓, Beltran H. ↑,
60', Londono K. 🟨,
63', Pardo F. ↓, Londono Y. ↑,
70', Hernandez L. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
75', Castillo J. ↓, Esparragoza C. ↑,
76', Berdugo L. ↓, Tamara S. ↑,
77', Abonia Y. ↓, Montano B. ↑,
80', Fernandez W. 🟨,
90+2', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
90+7', Franco P. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Alianza is the team to beat.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).