Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio)

Referee: Rivera H. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Llaneros SA		Jaguares de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.75
	1.88	3.25	4.25	Watch
	1.94	3.34	4.45
	1.9	3.27	4.31	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4
	1.89	3.2	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.55)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)	4.48 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros SA
50.5%

Draw
28.6%

Jaguares de Córdoba
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

26.5%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

25.4%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llaneros SA's form might have worsened.

Jaguares de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaguares de Córdoba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llaneros SA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaguares de Córdoba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Llaneros SA - Jaguares de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Jaguares de Córdoba will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ortega M. (G) 29. Riascos L. 23. Moralez A. 21. Meza F. (C) 16. Escobar Salcedo J. 77. Rincon K. 35. Caicedo K. 10. Ospina N. 7. Miranda L. 95. Jhon Vasquez 15. Blanco J.	1. Martinez D. (G) 30. Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. 22. Ordonez C. 29. Henao C. 20. Castano M. 13. Hinestroza J. 5. Colpa Bolano R. R. 8. Rodriguez Urango D. 19. Moreno Y. (C) 18. Lenis K. 11. Renteria A.
Substitutes
9. Cortes C. 33. Kelvin Osorio 14. Laszo E. 12. Loaiza J. (G) 11. Marimon L. 94. Medranda J. 8. Ramirez J. 3. Vidal V.	14. Angulo Castro B. 7. De La Rosa W. 10. Jopito 16. Mejia J. 12. Mosquera F. (G) 23. Mosquera F. 17. Viveros J.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Florentin G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Miranda L. ⚽, Jhon Vasquez (A),
39', Ordonez C. 🟨,
42', Miranda L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Caicedo K. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
46', Rodriguez Urango D. ↓, Jopito ↑,
46', Moreno Y. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
49', Lenis K. 🟨,
58', Miranda L. ↓, Kelvin Osorio ↑,
58', Blanco J. ↓, Cortes C. ↑,
66', Martinez D. 🟨,
70', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Marimon L. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Martinez D. (Own goal),
74', Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. ↓, Viveros J. ↑,
75', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
78', Escobar Salcedo J. ↓, Medranda J. ↑,
79', Kelvin Osorio 🟨,
85', Lenis K. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 15).

Llaneros SA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jaguares de Córdoba is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Llaneros SA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Llaneros SA is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Llaneros	13	4	2	7	15:17	-2	14
20	Jaguares de Cordoba	11	1	4	6	11:20	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
05.03.26	Llaneros SA - Inter Bogotá	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Llaneros SA - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Millonarios - Llaneros SA	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Llaneros SA - Deportivo Pasto	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Deportes Tolima - Llaneros SA	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TTLLW
- Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera A
04.03.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	América de Cali - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
12.02.26	Boyacá Chicó - Jaguares de Córdoba	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
24.04.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Llaneros SA	2:1 penalties
10.04.24	Llaneros SA - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:2
30.03.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Llaneros SA	1:0
15.03.23	Llaneros SA - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:1

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