Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Llaneros SA		Deportivo Pasto

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.9	Watch
	2.08	2.92	3.95	Watch
	2.16	2.97	4.22
	1.99	2.97	4.44	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.7
	2.14	2.99	3.74	Watch
	2.1	2.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.08)	2.94 ↑ (2.92)	3.99 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros SA
44.6%

Draw
31.9%

Deportivo Pasto
23.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

31.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Llaneros SA - Deportivo Pasto Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Llaneros SA: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Llaneros SA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Llaneros SA (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Llaneros SA (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ortega M. (G) 29. Riascos L. 23. Moralez A. 21. Meza F. (C) 94. Medranda J. 6. Sierra M. 33. Kelvin Osorio 35. Caicedo K. 8. Ramirez J. 95. Jhon Vasquez 9. Cortes C.	12. Banguera G. (G) 3. Jimenez M. S. 2. Torijano F. (C) 5. Gil N. 33. Garavito M. 21. Velasco E. 6. Caicedo J. 32. Pisano M. 23. Goez Y. 11. Estupinan A. 7. Perlaza J.
Substitutes
15. Blanco J. 99. Castro J. 14. Laszo E. 12. Loaiza J. (G) 11. Marimon L. 3. Mesalles Vidal V. (G) 7. Miranda L. 26. Quintero D. 5. Restrepo E. 22. Romana Garavito R. (G)	10. Chavez D. 16. Gil M. 27. Goyes H. 1. Herrerin I. (G) 15. Mancilla H. 13. Martinez F. 18. Micolta Piedahita J. 19. Morelo W. 8. Serje Orozco E. C.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Risueno J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Estupinan A. ⚽, Perlaza J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Goez Y. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
46', Sierra M. ↓, Restrepo E. ↑,
46', Medranda J. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
58', Estupinan A. 🟥,
59', Meza F. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
62', Jimenez M. S. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
62', Pisano M. ↓, Serje Orozco E. C. ↑,
69', Caicedo K. ↓, Marimon L. ↑,
72', Miranda L. 🟨,
73', Perlaza J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
78', Riascos L. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
85', Restrepo E. 🟨,
86', Serje Orozco E. C. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+7', Garavito M. 🟨,
90+7', Restrepo E. 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Deportivo Pasto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Llaneros SA is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Llaneros SA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Llaneros SA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Llaneros	15	5	2	8	16:20	-4	17
20	Dep. Pasto	13	2	3	8	9:19	-10	9

Last Results with these Odds

Llaneros SA - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.88%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
07.02.26	Deportes Tolima - Llaneros SA	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Llaneros SA - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Llaneros SA - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Deportivo Pereira - Llaneros SA	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WTTTW
- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
06.02.26	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pasto	3:0 ✺
28.01.26	Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
22.08.25	Llaneros SA - Deportivo Pasto	2:1
Colombian Copa
02.06.25	Deportivo Pasto - Llaneros SA	3:0
Colombian Primera A
08.03.25	Deportivo Pasto - Llaneros SA	1:0

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