Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Deportivo Pasto		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.88	2.38	Watch
	2.8	3	2.45
	3.25	2.92	2.38	Watch
	3.38	2.96	2.44
	3.38	2.9	2.36	Watch
	3.3	2.8	2.3
	3.37	2.78	2.43	Watch
	3.33	2.85	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.35)	2.89 ↓ (3.15)	2.39 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pasto
28.4%

Draw
32.4%

Millonarios
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

29.5%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrerin I. (G) 3. Jimenez M. S. 21. Velasco E. 5. Gil N. 2. Torijano F. (C) 6. Caicedo J. 8. Serje Orozco E. C. 32. Pisano M. 23. Goez Y. 19. Morelo W. 11. Estupinan A.	12. Novoa D. (G) 26. Llinas A. 3. Samuel M. 17. Arias J. (C) 20. Banguero D. 19. Garcia M. 18. Urena R. 24. Angulo J. 7. Quintero D. 23. Castro L. 27. Contreras R.
Substitutes
12. Banguera G. (G) 17. Bernal J. 29. Cordoba S. 16. Gil M. 27. Goyes H. 15. Mancilla H. 13. Martinez F. 18. Micolta Piedahita J. 7. Perlaza J.	33. Castro A. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 9. Falcao R. 6. Mosquera S. 38. Rodriguez D. (G) 2. Sarabia C. 22. Valencia S. 28. Vega S. 30. Viveros S.
Coaches
Risueno J.	Torres H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Serje Orozco E. C. 🟨,
4', 1 - 0, Goez Y. ⚽, Estupinan A. (A),
23', Pisano M. 🟨,
25', Llinas A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Contreras R. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Garcia M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Castro L. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
46', Quintero D. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
46', Llinas A. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
59', Jimenez M. S. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
67', Angulo J. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
67', Contreras R. ↓, Falcao R. ↑,
73', Serje Orozco E. C. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Estupinan A. ⚽,
81', Goez Y. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
81', Morelo W. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
82', Pisano M. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
85', Estupinan A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 0.

Deportivo Pasto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Millonarios might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 11:27. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Millonarios	14	5	7	2	19:12	7	22
18	Dep. Pasto	12	2	3	7	9:18	-9	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
25.01.26	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
13.11.25	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
27.10.25	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Pereira	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WWWLW
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
25.01.26	Millonarios - Junior Barranquilla	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.26	Boca Juniors - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
11.01.26	River Plate - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
12.11.25	Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
10.09.25	Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto	1:0
01.02.25	Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios	0:1
08.12.24	Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios	0:0
20.11.24	Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto	2:1
03.11.24	Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto	1:0
14.04.24	Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios	2:3
15.07.23	Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios	0:0

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