Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto)

Referee: Ortega C. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Deportivo Pasto		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.75	2.3	Watch
	3.35	2.88	2.38	Watch
	3.55	2.92	2.38
	3.54	2.76	2.39	Watch
	3.3	2.75	2.3
	3.43	2.85	2.32	Watch
	3.4	2.83	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.84)	2.82 ↓ (2.84)	2.35 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pasto
27.1%

Draw
33.1%

Atlético Bucaramanga
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pasto's form might have worsened.

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Bucaramanga's recent form is better than expected.

Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Deportivo Pasto (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Pasto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Banguera G. (G) 33. Garavito M. 2. Torijano F. 21. Velasco E. 10. Chavez D. 6. Caicedo J. 15. Mancilla H. 3. Jimenez M. S. 18. Micolta Piedahita J. 19. Morelo W. (C) 11. Estupinan A.	1. Quintana A. (G) 19. Gutierrez A. 4. Garcia J. 2. Mena J. (C) 8. Hinestroza F. 28. Flores L. 21. Charrupi F. 11. Salazar J. 10. Sambueza F. 7. Londono K. 27. Pons L.
Substitutes
17. Bernal J. 16. Gil M. 23. Goez Y. 27. Goyes H. 1. Herrerin I. (G) 13. Martinez F. 7. Perlaza J. 32. Pisano M. 8. Serje Orozco E. C.	15. Batalla E. 6. Charrupi G. 25. De Las Salas C. 13. Medina G. 14. Mosquera J. 23. Romana C. 12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G)
Coaches
Risueno J.	Alvarez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
15', Estupinan A. 🟨,
15', Caicedo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mancilla H. ↓, Goez Y. ↑,
46', Caicedo J. ↓, Serje Orozco E. C. ↑,
46', Gutierrez A. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
51', Chavez D. 🟨,
54', Chavez D. ↓, Pisano M. ↑,
59', Londono K. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
62', Morelo W. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
65', Salazar J. ↓, Batalla E. ↑,
66', Sambueza F. 🟨,
75', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Perlaza J. ↑,
87', Sambueza F. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
90+3', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
90+5', Mena J. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 1.

Bucaramanga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bucaramanga will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bucaramanga	11	6	5	0	20:10	10	23
18	Dep. Pasto	12	2	3	7	9:18	-9	9

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Bucaramanga - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.13%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
01.02.26	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pasto	3:0 ✺
28.01.26	Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
13.11.25	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 LWWWW
- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
01.02.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar	5:0 ✺
27.01.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Llaneros SA - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
08.12.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
13.11.25	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:0
25.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto	2:1
Colombian Copa
24.10.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto	0:0
17.10.24	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2
Colombian Primera A
23.08.24	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2
19.02.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto	1:0
21.09.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto	0:2

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