Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Llanes		Club Siero

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.25
	1.79	3.39	4.3
	1.79	3.4	4.29
	1.75	3.1	4.4
	1.74	3.3	4.49
	1.76	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.78)	3.28 ↑ (3.24)	4.32 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanes
51.3%

Draw
27.7%

Club Siero
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.9%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

26.7%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Club Siero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanes than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Siero than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Llanes - Club Siero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10).

Llanes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Siero is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Siero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Llanes is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Llanes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Club Siero	8	4	0	4	11:9	2	12
17	Llanes	8	0	4	4	8:16	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Llanes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
08.02.26	Navarro - Llanes	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Llanes - Gijón Industrial	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Praviano - Llanes	3:3 ✺
18.01.26	Llanes - Lenense	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Llanes - San Martín	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTTWL
- Club Siero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
07.02.26	Club Siero - Sporting de Gijón B	0:4 ✺
01.02.26	LEntregu - Club Siero	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Club Siero - Colunga	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Mosconia - Club Siero	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Ceares - Club Siero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
17.02.21	Club Siero - Llanes	2:1
11.12.19	Club Siero - Llanes	0:2

Llanes - Club Siero