Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Guilsfield		Llay Welfare

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.7	5
	1.43	4.6	4.83
	1.51	4.79	5.14	Watch
	1.46	4.6	5.1
	1.46	4.7	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.62)	4.68 ↑ (4.5)	5.01 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guilsfield
62.3%

Draw
19.5%

Llay Welfare
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

20.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

15.2%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guilsfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guilsfield's performance.

Llay Welfare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llay Welfare might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guilsfield than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guilsfield that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llay Welfare than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llay Welfare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guilsfield - Llay Welfare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Bromley C. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Smallwood J. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
48', 3 - 0, Bromley C. ⚽,
60', 4 - 0, Haycock J. ⚽,
85', 5 - 0, Smallwood J. ⚽,
86', 5 - 1, Kamilo B. ⚽,
90+3', 6 - 1, Haycock J. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Guilsfield is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Llay Welfare has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Llay Welfare have a series of guest games.

In this match Guilsfield is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guilsfield FC
Welsh Cymru North
14.12.24	Penrhyncoch - Guilsfield	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Mold Alexandra - Guilsfield	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Holywell Town - Guilsfield	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Guilsfield - Denbigh Town	4:3 ✺
26.10.24	Ruthin Town - Guilsfield	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLWL
- Llay Welfare
Welsh Cymru North
30.11.24	Llay Welfare - Denbigh Town	3:2 ✺
09.11.24	Llay Welfare - Colwyn Bay	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Buckley Town - Llay Welfare	3:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
19.10.24	Bangor 1876 - Llay Welfare	2:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
12.10.24	Llandudno - Llay Welfare	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLL

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