Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Camp d'Esports (Lleida)


	Lleida		Cornellà

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.2	1.82
	1.54	3.60	6.51	Watch
	4.34	3.2	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.78)	3.33 ↑ (3.15)	3.37 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lleida
33.6%

Draw
33.4%

Cornellà
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

28.8%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

28%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lleida's performance.

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cornellà might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lleida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cornellà could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lleida - Cornellà Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Russo P. ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, Aliaga ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lleida won 2.

Lleida has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cornellà is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lleida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cornellà is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lleida won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lleida won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lleida
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
16.11.25	Badalona - Lleida	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Lleida - Montañesa	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Lleida	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Lleida - Peralada	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Vic - Lleida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTLL
- UE Cornellà
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
15.11.25	Cornellà - Vilanova	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	LEscala - Cornellà	3:3 ✺
01.11.25	Cornellà - Vilassar de Mar	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Mollerussa - Cornellà	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Cornellà - San Cristóbal	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.01.25	Cornellà - Lleida	1:1
14.09.24	Lleida - Cornellà	1:0
21.02.21	Cornellà - Lleida	0:1
21.11.20	Lleida - Cornellà	2:3
15.12.19	Cornellà - Lleida	1:0
10.02.19	Cornellà - Lleida	0:0
23.09.18	Lleida - Cornellà	1:1

Lleida - Cornellà: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide